European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (2024)

LONDON — European stock markets closed higher on Thursday as investors assessed U.K. growth figures for the fourth quarter and monitored corporate earnings.

The Stoxx 600 index provisionally ended up 0.6%, with major bourses and most sectors in positive territory. Construction stocks rose 1.1% as oil and gas stocks fell 0.9%.

Autos were up 2%, with France's Renault up 6.3% after announcing a hefty dividend rise and reiterating a target of double-digit operating margins by 2030.

European markets

The U.K. economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of 2023, pushing the country into a technical recession after third-quarter growth was revised down to -0.1%.

Among the firms reporting, Germany's Commerzbank posted a 55% jump in full-year net profit and its best result for 15 years, as fourth-quarter results slightly outperformed.

Planemaker Airbus announced a special dividend of 1 euro per share as it reported higher revenue and orders but a fall in earnings per share.

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher Thursday, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225seeing a late rally to close abovethe 38,000 mark for the first time since 1990. That came as Japan lost its spot as the world's third-largest economy, with gross domestic product falling 0.4% in the fourth quarter, versus expectations for 1.4% growth.

U.S. stocks were mixed. Various releases are due stateside, including January retail sales and weekly unemployment claims.

European stocks close higher

European stocks closed higher on Thursday as investors digested a a flurry of corporate earnings.

The pan-European Stoxx 600 provisionally ended 0.6% higher, with major bourses and almost all sectors in positive territory.

— Sam Meredith

There are early positive signals from the manufacturing sector, CIO says

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (1)

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There are early positive signals from the manufacturing sector, CIO says

Street Signs Europe

Chris Wyllie, chief investment officer at Connor Broadley, weighs in on the outlook for economic growth and company valuations.

Airbus CEO on Boeing troubles: Customers are seeking reliability in the long-term

Airbus shares were 0.7% lower in early afternoon trade, after the world's largest plane maker narrowly missed adjusted earnings forecasts for the fourth quarter and reported a 4% rise in full-year operating profit.

The Toulouse-based firm proposed an unchanged regular divided of 1.8 euros ($1.93) per share, along with a special divided of 1 euro per share.

Asked about whether the stack of recent issues at rival Boeing had given the company an edge, Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury told CNBC's Charlotte Reed that aviation was a "long-term" industry.

"Given the strength of demand in the market, we have important backlogs... that's really what drives our activity, not too much the short-term comparison with the other guys, but focusing on what we have to deliver," he said.

"On the longer term, obviously customers are looking at the suppliers which are more reliable in delivery, what is expected of them, and we like to believe that we are improving and trying to do the right things."

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (3)

Airbus share price.

— Jenni Reid

China is not producing enough aluminum to meet its own demand, says Norsk Hydro CFO

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (4)

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Norsk Hydro is benefitting from high energy prices, tight aluminium markets, CFO says

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Pål Kildemo, CFO of the Norwegian aluminum and renewable energy company, discusses its results and the global aluminum market.

Renault shares jump 7% after earnings

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (5)

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Renault CEO: EV pricing is challenging, but industry must 'fight' for the technology

Squawk Box Europe

Shares ofRenaultclimbed in morning trade on Thursday, after the French carmaker said it would propose raising its dividend per share to 1.85 euros ($1.99) for the financial year, up from 0.25 euros previously.

Group CEO Luca de Meo told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" Thursday that Renault's guidance was "relatively prudent" and described the market as "challenging."

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (6)

Renault share price.

"I think there will be a lot of pressure on EV, reduction of pricing that we already see since a few months... But we are also on the other side optimistic because we'll be launching 10 models, basically one model every month, so we enter into a very favorable product lifecycle, including EV cars," he said.

Read the full story here.

— Jenni Reid

High interest rates help Germany’s Commerzbank post best results in 15 years

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (7)

Commerzbank share price

Commerzbankon Thursday reported a 55% hike in net profit for 2023, as high interest rates helped the German banking giant report its best results in 15 years.

Net profit for the year beat expectations to come in at 2.2 billion euros ($2.36 billion), up from 1.4 billion euros a year earlier. For the fourth quarter, net profit was 395 million euros, down over 16% on the same quarter the year before, but ahead of consensus estimates published by Commerzbank.

Read the full story here.

— Katrina Bishop

UK economy slipped into technical recession

The U.K. economy slipped into a technical recession at the end of last year — gross domestic product figures showed that the economy contracted by 0.3% in the three months to December 2023.

That was worse than the 0.1% contraction expected by economists.

It followed a 0.1% fall in output during the previous quarter. Two consecutive quarters of contraction are widely viewed to indicate a technical recession.

Sterling lost earlier gains against the dollar after the news.

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (8)

U.K's sterling against the U.S. dollar.

— Katrina Bishop

Europe stocks to open higher

European stocks were seen opening Thursday higher, according to IG data, with the FTSE 100 up 25 points to 7,569, Germany's DAX up 43 points to 16,987, and France's CAC up 21 points to 7,697.

Italy's MIB was seen 77 points higher at 31,509.

— Jenni Reid

Japan’s fourth-quarter GDP shows surprise contraction

Flag of Japan on dark blue background. 3D render

Da-kuk | E+ | Getty Images

Japan's economy shrank unexpectedly during the last quarter of 2023, according to government data.

Provisional gross domestic product contracted 0.4% in the fourth quarter compared with a year ago, after a revised 3.3% slump in the July-September period.

The reading was also much lower than a Reuters poll forecast of 1.4% growth.

Japan also contracted 0.1% quarter-over-quarter, after shrinking a revised 0.8% in the third quarter from the second.

For more, please read the full story.

— Shreyashi Sanyal, Clement Tan

Bitcoin hits over two-year high amid 'favorable regulatory activity'

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (9)

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Favorable regulatory activity is fueling crypto gains: EY's Paul Brody

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The total value invested in bitcoin surpassed $1 trillion on Wednesday reaching an over two-year high following the debut of bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the United States last month.

The price of ether, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, surpassed $2,700 to reach its highest level since May 2022, with investors expecting the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to greenlight spot ether ETFs this May.

"We have a global convergence of favorable regulatory activity, and what it's doing is unblocking an enormous amount of institutional capital," Paul Brody, global blockchain leader at Ernst & Young, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Thursday.

"There's $200 trillion of institutional capital that hasn't been able to access these assets previously, and while these inflows aren't going to happen overnight, we are going to see a steady allocation of resources into them," he added.

— Dylan Butts

CNBC Pro: ASML and more: BofA just got more bullish on these 3 chip stocks, says AI spending is heating up

European semiconductor equipment stocks are likely to outperform as spending on artificial intelligence chips rises over the next decade, according to Bank of America.

The continent's chip stocks produce the high-tech machines needed to manufacture the latest generation of chips.

"We raise our [price targets] on our EU Semicaps coverage, which we expect to continue benefiting from investment in AI infrastructure," BofA analysts said in a note to clients.

The Wall Street bank said its top picks are likely to soar further, thanks to the "scarcity of value in Europe for AI-related stocks."

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more about their stock picks here.

— Ganesh Rao

CNBC Pro: Morgan Stanley names Asia-Pacific 'alpha' stock ideas for February — giving one nearly 80% upside

The performance of major Asia markets has been uneven for the past year.

Investors have been shunning China stocks, while flooding India and Japan markets.

Those interested in stock-picking rather than passive investing can look to the bank's list of "alpha" stocks that could beat the market.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Weizhen Tan

European stocks close higher; UK GDP figures show economy fell into technical recession (2024)

FAQs

Is the UK technically in recession? ›

The UK economy has slumped into a technical recession. A technical recession is a rough and ready term used by the media and the markets that defines a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth.

How will UK recession affect stock market? ›

In addition, a recession may have wider-reaching consequences for all FTSE 100 shares. If GDP figures remain weak in 2024, this could have significant implications for fiscal policy and sterling's performance in foreign exchange markets. These variables can have major consequences for all stocks in the index.

What is happening with the UK economy? ›

The UK economy staged an early recovery from a technical recession in the second half of 2023, with real GDP growth expected to be 0.3% in 2024, and to accelerate to 0.9% in 2025. We expect improving incomes to bolster consumer spending, while investment should also benefit from easing credit conditions.

What caused the UK recession in 2024? ›

According to media reports, the main reasons that caused the recession were people spending less, doctors' strikes and a decrease in school attendance, the latter of which is important as the 'value of education' is included in economic data.

Is the US going into a recession? ›

At one point in the fall of 2022, a model by Bloomberg projected a 100% risk of a US recession over the following 12 months. Now, many economists are in the soft landing camp as consumer spending and the jobs market have proven to be much more resilient than anticipated.

Is the US in a recession in 2024? ›

The Federal Reserve's policymaking committee of 19 officials released a new set of economic projections last week, showing that they now expect economic growth in 2024, 2025 and 2026 to be even stronger than they previously thought.

What stocks to invest in during a recession UK? ›

During a recession, investing in real estate, stocks of consumer staples, utilities, money market funds, and healthcare companies is wise. These sectors offer goods and services always in demand, regardless of economic downturns, making them more resilient investment choices in challenging times.

Why is the UK entering a recession? ›

The U.K. fell into recession at the end of last year as the cost-of-living crisis continued to weigh heavily on productivity and consumer spending.

How long will the UK recession last? ›

UK Economic Outlook

The UK economy is expected to grow every year until the end of 2026 but will continue to lack momentum. While 2023 ended with a technical recession confirmed for Q3 and Q4, growth for 2024 and 2025 has been revised upwards slightly to 0.5% and 0.7% respectively, with 2026 set to grow at 1.0%.

What is the UK's main source of income? ›

The services sector—which comprises many industries including finance, retail, and entertainment—accounts for 80% of the U.K.'s economic activity, while manufacturing and construction account for about 16%.

Can the UK economy recover? ›

ECONOMY TO RETURN TO GROWTH, SLOWLY

The BoE expects output will grow by just 0.25% in 2024 and 0.75% in 2025, much weaker than annual growth of around 3% in the decade before the 2007-09 financial crisis and below even its rate during the 2010s, a period marked by public spending cuts.

Is the British economy doing well? ›

LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - Britain's economy returned to growth in January after entering a shallow recession in the second half of 2023, offering some relief to Prime Minister Rishi Sunak ahead of an election expected this year, official data showed.

How bad is the UK economy right now? ›

Latest GDP data

In Q4 2023, UK GDP fell by 0.3% compared with the previous quarter (Q3 2023). This was the second successive quarterly fall in GDP, following a 0.1% decline in Q3 2023. Eurozone GDP was fell by 0.1% in Q4 2023, with German GDP down by 0.3%. US GDP grew by 0.8% in the same quarter.

Is Japan in a recession? ›

While the revised figures mean that Japan escaped recession – defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth – it continues to be the world's fourth-largest economy after losing the number three spot to Germany.

Is Canada in a recession? ›

"Against this backdrop, we remain cautious about the near-term outlook," the firm said in its report. "But based on its current trajectory, Canada appears likely to skirt a recession and even seems poised to begin recovering from its current slump in the second half of this year."

Which countries are in the recession 2024 list? ›

Contrary To Proverbial Wisdom War Is Bad For Business
Country20202024
Finland-2.3550.422
Austria-6.6330.435
United Kingdom-10.360.46
Equatorial Guinea-4.7880.467
63 more rows
22 hours ago

Is Germany in a recession? ›

Germany's Economy Probably Is in Recession

Similarly, the Economy Ministry said most research institutes “expect GDP to fall again in the first quarter of 2024.”

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