What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity (2024)

A 20% drop in stocks means we're in a bear market. Here's what you need to know.

Fidelity Smart Money

What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity (1)

Key takeaways

  • A bear market is a price decline of at least 20% from a recent high.
  • US stocks have dipped into bear territory about every 6 years on average over the past 150 years.
  • When markets drop, it's a good time to check in on your emergency savings and investment plan.

Since 1709, the financial world has embraced bears as the mascot for periods when stocks fall on hard times.1 But just because many investors are fearful of bear markets doesn't mean you need to be.

Here's a breakdown of what you should know about bear markets, including tips for your dollars when facing one.

What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity (2)

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What is a bear market?

A bear market is a period when investments have fallen at least 20% from recent market highs. The closing price of the S&P 500, an index that tracks the prices of 500 large publicly traded US companies, is often used to gauge if the US stock market is in bear-market territory.

Bear markets are the mirror image of bull markets, which represent an increase of at least 20% from market lows. Bear markets are more extreme than market corrections—a term used to describe a downward price swing of at least 10% from a recent high.

What causes a bear market?

The price drops that signal a bear market happen when many people sell their investments around the same time. These "sell-offs" happen when investors are concerned about the value of stocks or their future growth. Investors can get anxious about the future of investments for many different reasons—from global conflict and elections to shifting regulations and changes in consumer spending patterns.

How frequent are bear markets, and how long do they last?

During previous bear markets, the median decline in stock prices was 33% off their then-recent highs.2 Over the past 150 years, US stocks have entered bear-market territory about every 6 years, on average.

What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity (3)

Source: Fidelity Investments. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The S&P 500® Index is a market capitalization–weighted index of 500 common stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. S&P and S&P 500 are registered service marks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. The CBOE Dow Jones Volatility Index is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. You cannot invest directly in an index.

Historically, the US stock market has recovered from every bear market, often making sizable gains in the months immediately following the downturn.

Do bear markets and recessions go hand in hand?

While many people associate bear markets and recessions, they don't always go together. In about a quarter of bear markets, they haven't.3 In other words, just because the S&P 500 enters into bear-market territory, it doesn't mean you should expect the slowdown in economic activity and jobs that signal a recession.

What should you do during a bear market?

Nobody likes to watch their investment account balance fall. But some investors see falling stock prices as an opportunity. These 4 steps can help you ride out a bear market.

Check on your emergency savings

Emergency savings are a lifeline even in bull markets. They become more important when things turn bearish. Fidelity's recommendation is to save enough cash to cover at least 3 to 6 months' worth of essential expenses. This is typically enough to cover you in the event of a major unexpected event, like a job loss or medical emergency. In times of uncertainty, you may consider adding even more buffer, especially if you support more than just yourself or your immediate family.

Not sure how to find extra money for your savings? Read our guide on how to build an emergency fund.

Keep your time horizon in mind

Seeing red in your portfolio for an extended time can be stressful. But try not to panic.

Look at your current investment performance in the context of your goals and investing timelines. Chances are that when you started investing, you knew you'd have to weather some down times in order to enjoy the good ones.

Still, bear markets can reveal important realities you may need to face as an investor. If losing money—even temporarily—makes you lose sleep, you may want to revisit your risk tolerance and asset allocation when the market recovers.

Remember: Selling when prices are down means you could miss out on the potential recovery. It's almost impossible to predict when the market will turn around. But historically it always has.

Maintain your investment strategy

When prices are down in a bear market, it can be tempting to put your investment contributions on hold. But just as you generally don't want to make withdrawals from the market when stocks fall, you'll also likely not want to stop making regular contributions to investment accounts.

When you set up automatic contributions through accounts like your 401(k), you're using dollar-cost-averaging, a strategy in which you invest the same dollar value, regardless of how the market's doing. You end up buying more shares when prices are low and fewer when prices are high. This positions you to pay less on average per share and see greater gains when the market rises.

If you hit pause on your investments when prices drop, you won't be able to swoop up shares at their discounted rate, which can shrink the impact that dollar-cost averaging has on your portfolio. Also, dollar-cost averaging does not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining markets. For the strategy to be effective, you must continue to purchase shares whether the market is up or down.

Consider investing more

If your financial house is in order and you feel prepared for an extended bear market, you can consider looking at a bear market as an opportunity to invest more while prices are low. Another option is rebalancing your current holdings to allocate more to stocks.

Keep in mind that if you get aggressive with your investments during a bear market, it's impossible to predict when the market will hit bottom. Money you move toward stocks now may be worth less tomorrow. In cases like these, it's especially important to keep an eye on the long term. And, as always, make sure to regularly revisit your financial plan (with your financial planner if you have one) to make sure you're on the right path for your goals.

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What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity (2024)

FAQs

What is a bear market and what does it mean for you? | Fidelity? ›

A bear market is commonly defined as a decline of at least 20% from the market's high point to its low. Bear markets are a normal part of investing. Bear markets have historically varied in length but stock markets have always recovered from them.

Who benefits from a bear market? ›

Buy-and-hold investors can often take advantage of lower prices during a bear market to add valuable stocks to their portfolios. Day traders and other short-term investors, though, may need to use strategies such as short selling, put options, and inverse ETFs to make a profit during a bear market. CNBC.

Should you buy or sell in a bear market? ›

Invest in stocks that you want to own for the long run, and don't sell them simply because their prices went down in a bear market. Focus on quality: When bear markets hit, it's true that companies often go out of business.

What typically happens during a bear market? ›

A bear market is defined by a prolonged drop in investment prices — generally, a bear market happens when a broad market index falls by 20% or more from its most recent high. The reverse of a bear market is a bull market, characterized by gains of 20% or more.

How long do bear markets usually last? ›

The duration of bear markets can vary, but on average, they last approximately 289 days, equivalent to around nine and a half months. It's important to note that there's no way to predict the timing of a bear market with complete certainty, and history shows that the average bear market length can vary significantly.

Where does the money go in a bear market? ›

Investing in bonds is also a common strategy to protect oneself during a bear market. Bond prices often move inversely to stock prices, and if stocks decline, a bond investor could stand to benefit. Short-term bonds in a bear market could help investors weather the (hopefully) short-term downturn.

How to survive a bear market? ›

Another option is to reduce your spending as much as you can during a bear market. This will allow you to withdraw less money from your portfolio when prices are down. Cutting spending isn't easy, but it may help you sleep better and get you through a period of high volatility.

Do prices go down in a bear market? ›

What's the difference between a bear market and a recession? A bear market describes a period of trending downward stock prices, often as a result of negative investor sentiment.

Should you stay invested in a bear market? ›

“Investors who remain even keeled and disciplined in a negative market are likely to avoid common pitfalls and potentially enjoy better times ahead. Historically, the longer you stay invested, the greater your possibility of meeting your long-term goals.” Check in with a financial advisor.

What to invest in during a bear market? ›

Bonds — Bonds typically provide lower rates of returns than stocks on average but are usually less volatile and safer. Investing in bonds may help hedge your portfolio against the ups and downs of the stock market. Cash — This can include savings deposits, certificates of deposit and money market accounts.

What not to do in a bear market? ›

Selling off all your stocks after seeing red in your portfolio during a bear market is the last thing you want to do. Volatility is scary, especially if you are risk averse, but running with the volatility wave is key and beneficial to the success of your long-term portfolio.

What percentage of Americans have no money in the stock market? ›

According to a recent GOBankingRates survey, almost half of the survey's participants reported not owning any stocks, with 22% having less than $15,000 in total stock investments.

How to make money when the market goes down? ›

Short selling is a strategy for making money on stocks falling in price, also called “going short” or “shorting.” This is an advanced strategy only experienced investors and traders should try. An investor borrows a stock, sells it, and then buys the stock back to return it to the lender.

How long did it take for stock market to recover after 2008? ›

The bounce-back from the 2008 crash took five and a half years, but an additional half year to regain your purchasing power.

What is the 3 day rule in stocks? ›

The 3-Day Rule in stock trading refers to the settlement rule that requires the finalization of a transaction within three business days after the trade date. This rule impacts how payments and orders are processed, requiring traders to have funds or credit in their accounts to cover purchases by the settlement date.

How to make money in a bear market? ›

Bear markets are largely pessimistic ones, so profits can be realised from short-selling in the bear market. They can also come from buying at the bottom of a bear market or a buy and hold strategy, where traders simply wait out the bear market and ride the price rally up.

Is a bear market good for investors? ›

Again, during a bear economy, most stocks tend to fall; that's to be expected. Remember that you're looking to position your portfolio for an upcoming bull market and using the bear market to potentially give you a preparatory boost in discounted stocks.

Why do people sell during a bear market? ›

Investors often sell in a bear market due to fear of further losses, but this can result in missing out on future recoveries. Selling crystallizes losses and prevents benefiting from the market's natural boom and bust cycles. A long-term investment approach typically yields better results.

Why not to sell in a bear market? ›

A smart investor will never sell during a bear market. Panic selling can ruin your portfolio and take you away from your financial goals. This is an opportunity to buy stocks. You might have to make some risky moves, but this does not mean that there are no opportunities in the market.

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