The Bond Market's q* (2024)

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Volume 124 Issue 3 August 2009
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Thomas Philippon

Stern School of Business, New York University, NBER

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CEPR

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The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 124, Issue 3, August 2009, Pages 1011–1056, https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.2009.124.3.1011

Published:

01 August 2009

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Abstract

I propose an implementation of the q-theory of investment using bond prices instead of equity prices. Credit risk makes corporate bond prices sensitive to future asset values, and q can be inferred from bond prices. With aggregate U.S. data, the bond market's q fits the investment equation six times better than the usual measure of q, it drives out cash flows, and it reduces the implied adjustment costs by more than an order of magnitude. Theoretical interpretations for these results are discussed.

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© 2009 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

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FAQs

The Bond Market's q*? ›

q (the market value of an additional unit of capital divided by its replacement cost) is equal to average q (the market value of existing capital divided by its replacement cost). Because av- erage q is observable, the theory became empirically relevant.

What is the bond market quizlet? ›

(I) Debt markets are often referred to generically as the bond market. (II) A bond is a security that is a claim on the earnings and assets of a corporation.

What is the bond market? ›

The bond market is by far the largest securities market in the world, providing investors with virtually limitless investment options. Many investors are familiar with aspects of the market, but as the number of new products grows, even a bond expert is challenged to keep pace.

What is the function of the bond market? ›

What Is the Bond Market? The bond market is often referred to as the debt market, fixed-income market, or credit market. It is the collective name given to all trades and issues of debt securities. Governments issue bonds to raise capital to pay debts or fund infrastructural improvements.

What is the bond market doing today? ›

Bond Yields
NameYieldChange
trading higher US 10 Year Treasury Yield US10YT=XX+4.637+0.046
trading higher UK 10 Year Yield GB10YT=RR+4.287-0.003
trading higher Australia 10 Year Yield AU10YT=RR+4.433-0.023
trading higher Canada 10 Year Yield CA10YT=RR+3.740-0.018
11 more rows

What is the bond market simplified? ›

Investors buy and sell bonds and other debt securities in the bond market. Securities are tradable assets, and debt securities include tradable debt with set terms between the borrower and lender, such as Treasury bills, notes and bonds. Bonds and debt securities vary in terms — how long you hold them — and risks.

What is a characteristic of the bond market? ›

Some of the characteristics of bonds include their maturity, their coupon (interest) rate, their tax status, and their callability. Several types of risks associated with bonds include interest rate risk, credit/default risk, and prepayment risk. Most bonds come with ratings that describe their investment grade.

What is a bond market example? ›

For example, say an investor purchases a bond at a premium of $1,090, and another investor buys the same bond later when it is trading at a discount for $980. When the bond matures, both investors will receive the $1,000 face value of the bond.

What is the bond market made up of? ›

The bond market is for participants that are involved in the issuance and trading of debt securities. It primarily includes government-issued and corporate debt securities, and can essentially be broken down into three main groups: issuers, underwriters, and purchasers.

Is the bond market a money market? ›

In reality, a bond is just one type of fixed income security. The difference between the money market and the bond market is that the money market specializes in very short-term debt securities (debt that matures in less than one year).

What does the bond market affect? ›

The bond market is a great predictor of inflation and the direction of the economy, both of which directly affect the prices of everything from stocks and real estate to household appliances and food.

What controls the bond market? ›

When interest rates increase, the value of existing bonds falls, since new issues pay a higher yield. Likewise, when interest rates decrease, the value of existing bonds rises, since new issues pay a lower yield.

What are the advantages of the bond market? ›

Advantages of Bonds. Bonds have some advantages over stocks, including relatively low volatility, high liquidity, legal protection, and a variety of term structures.

How much is a $1000 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

Are bonds a good investment? ›

There are several benefits that come along with adding bonds to your investment portfolio, and experts suggest that they can help offset some of the risks taken on by more volatile investments. Pro: Bonds can serve as a source of income. Regular interest payments can be a huge selling point for many investors.

Is it a good time to be in the bond market? ›

High-quality bond investments remain attractive. With yields on investment-grade-rated1 bonds still near 15-year highs,2 we believe investors should continue to consider intermediate- and longer-term bonds to lock in those high yields.

Why is it important to understand the bond market quizlet? ›

It is crucial to understand the bond market because many important aspects of financing activities are directly affected because of it.

What determines the bond market? ›

The price of a bond is determined by discounting the expected cash flows to the present using a discount rate. The three primary influences on bond pricing on the open market are supply and demand, term to maturity, and credit quality.

What is the bond market in investment analysis? ›

The bond market is a key component of the global economy and plays a crucial role in determining interest rates and overall market conditions. With its complex nature and constant fluctuations, investors must thoroughly understand the bond market and its various instruments.

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