Simple H4 Trading Strategy for High Probability Trades (2024)

Whilst a lot of traders will use the daily chart time frame to make their trades, one of the best charts that you can use to make high probability trades is the 4 hour chart.

The 4 hour chart is suited to many styles of trading from swing trading through to reversal and momentum trading.

In this post we go through why you would want to use the 4 hour time frame and two H4 trading strategies you can start using in your own trading.

Table of Contents

Why Use the 4 Hour Chart?

The 4 hour chart is the perfect happy medium between being a small time frame such as the five or fifteen minute time frame and a longer time frame such as the daily chart.

With the 4 hour chart you are still able to see the intraday price action clearly, but you are also not prone to the whipsaw and gaps that can occur on time frames such as the one minute chart.

On the very small time frames it is common to see large gaps form and for price to whip around wildly. This makes it hard to get an accurate price action picture to make high probability trades.

Like the example chart below shows, the 4 hour chart gives you a clear price action picture that allows you to find and make high probability winning trades.

Simple H4 Trading Strategy for High Probability Trades (1)

The Best H4 Chart Trading Strategy

Whilst there are many trading strategies you can use to make trades on the 4 hour time frame from using indicators and technical analysis, in this post we concentrate on how you can use raw price action to make high probability trades.

Using raw price action will allow you to find and make high quality trades that repeat over and over again. Also, once you have perfected these strategies on the 4 hour chart, you can use them on other time frames.

Trading High Probability Reversals

This is one of the simplest trade setups you can use on your 4 hour charts and you can also use it in different scenarios.

You can look for reversals within the trend, against the trend or like in the example below when a clear range has formed.

The key when making reversal trades is that you are looking to trade away from a key support or resistance level.

For example see the chart below; price is in a clear range. We can also see that price has been respecting the range high (resistance) and low (support) levels. Whilst these levels continue to hold we can look to trade long reversal trades from the support and short reversal trades from the resistance.

To further increase our trades odds we can add Japanese candlesticks at these areas. For example; when price moves into the resistance area we could then be looking for a reversal candlestick to form to confirm that price is looking to reject the resistance and make a new move back lower.

Simple H4 Trading Strategy for High Probability Trades (2)

Trading AggressiveBreakouts

This is a riskier and more aggressive strategy, but it does come with higher rewards.

When price makes a breakout on the 4 hour time frame they can often be explosive and lead to very large reward winning trades. However, breakouts can also often turn into fake outs so it is important you use small stop loss levels and aim for higher reward winning trades to cover any losses and to remain profitable.

The key to making 4 hour chart breakout trades is to find a major area of support or resistance that price has respected on multiple occasions.

For example, see the chart below. Price had been respecting the obvious support level on multiple occasions.

When price is looking to make a breakout lower and through this support level we could have a sell stop order ready to activate so we are entered into the trade automatically as price breaks lower.

Simple H4 Trading Strategy for High Probability Trades (3)

Lastly on Using H4 Trading Strategies

There are many different strategies you can use to make high probability and profitable trades on the 4 hour charts.

The 4 hour charts are the perfect chart for both new and advanced trades. They allow for swing trading and also breakout and momentum trading.

Make sure that whatever new strategy you are looking to test for the first time you do it on free demo charts risking no real money. You should never risk real money in a live trading account until you know that the strategy or system you are using works and can consistently make you profits.

Your Guide to Price Action Entries FREE PDF Download

How to find, enter and place stop losses on the best price action entries

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Pip Hunter

I hunt pips each day in the charts with price action technical analysis and indicators. My goal is to get as many pips as possible and help you understand how to use indicators and price action together successfully in your own trading.

Simple H4 Trading Strategy for High Probability Trades (2024)

FAQs

What is the simplest most profitable trading strategy? ›

One of the simplest and most widely known fundamental strategies is value investing. This strategy involves identifying undervalued assets based on their intrinsic value and holding onto them until the market recognizes their true worth.

What is the strategy of H4 chart trading? ›

Strategy for trading on the H4 chart

You need to open a long position when: CCI crosses the upper border of MACD from bottom to top; When it happens, MACD should be placed higher than the 100 level.

What trading strategy has the highest win rate? ›

If you're looking for a high win rate trading strategy, the Triple RSI Trading System is definitely worth checking out. This system uses three different Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators to identify potential buy and sell signals in the market.

Is there a trading system that can win 100% of the trades? ›

There is no such thing as a trading plan that wins 100% of the time. After all, losses are a part of the game. But losses can be psychologically traumatizing, so a trader who has two or three losing trades in a row might decide to skip the next trade.

Is there a 100% trading strategy? ›

A 100 percent trading strategy is an approach that involves investing all of your capital into a single trade. While this can be risky, it can also lead to significant profits if executed correctly.

How much money do day traders with $10,000 accounts make per day on average? ›

With a $10,000 account, a good day might bring in a five percent gain, which is $500. However, day traders also need to consider fixed costs such as commissions charged by brokers. These commissions can eat into profits, and day traders need to earn enough to overcome these fees [2].

What is the most successful form of trading? ›

Conclusion. The most profitable form of trading varies based on individual preferences, risk tolerance, and market conditions. Day trading offers rapid profits but demands quick decision-making, while position trading requires patience for long-term gains.

What is the 1% trading strategy? ›

Let's look at the 1% risk rule with the example:

Let's say you have $60,000 to invest. Buying an asset for $300 does not mean that you can only buy 2 of them (60.000*0.01 = 600, 600/300=2). Agreeing with the rule you just have to close your position if the loss exceeds 1% (in our case it is $300).

What is the H4 time frame? ›

Timeframes range from the smallest 1 minute (M1), 5 minute (M5), 15 minute (M15), 30 minute (M30), 1 hour (H1), 4 hour (H4), Daily, Weekly and Monthly as is found on MT4.

Can I day trade on H4? ›

Yes, absolutely, you can. But you must avoid day trading or even weekly trading of stock. That is not really allowed while you are in H-4 status unless you have a valid unexpired Employment Authorization Document (EAD).

What chart do most day traders use? ›

A day trader could trade off of 15-minute charts, use 60-minute charts to define the primary trend and a five-minute chart (or even a tick chart) to define the short-term trend.

What is the simplest trading strategy ever? ›

A simple method which doesn't require any analysis or indicator: Open a trade in the direction of the daily candle any time during the day in your own time zone. Don't put a limit. Put a stoploss equal to the length of the candle.

What is the most profitable trading strategy? ›

Three highlighted profitable forex trading strategies are: Scalping strategy “Bali”, Candlestick strategy “Fight the tiger”, and “Profit Parabolic” trading strategy. How to choose: Choose a forex trading strategy based on backtesting, real account performance, and market conditions.

Which option strategy has the highest probability? ›

One strategy that is quite popular among experienced options traders is known as the butterfly spread. This strategy allows a trader to enter into a trade with a high probability of profit, high-profit potential, and limited risk.

Which stock patterns have the highest probability? ›

The Head and Shoulders pattern is widely used among traders and is considered one of the most reliable reversal patterns. The timeframe of these patterns includes a few weeks to many months.

Which trading strategy is most accurate? ›

Trend trading strategy. This strategy describes when a trader uses technical analysis to define a trend, and only enters trades in the direction of the pre-determined trend. The above is a famous trading motto and one of the most accurate in the markets.

What is the most predictable market to trade? ›

But if you want a somewhat more predictable market, then bonds are your best bet. They tend to be less volatile than stocks or forex, and their prices are affected more by economic indicators than anything else.

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