If everyone were vegan, only a quarter of current farmland would be needed (2024)

“Veganuary” might be considered an attempt to cut out the middle creatures. Many vegans—even those who dabble only during the first month of the year—restrict their diet to reduce animal suffering. But many also do so for environmental reasons. Eliminating meat, fish, dairy and eggs would reduce emissions. Enjoying a prime steak or vintage cheese, for example, means feeding the animals that produce meat and dairy with plants, rather than consuming those plants directly. Beef farming produces 31 times more CO₂ emissions per calorie than tofu production does and generates only 5% of the calories that go into producing it.

That inefficiency means humans need to grow more plants than they would in a vegan world. For all the spread of veganism and the growing popularity of partial alternatives, such as veganuary, meat-eating is increasing globally. Its geography and composition is changing too. China’s appetite for its favourite meat, pork, appears to have peaked; beef is becoming more popular. India, which eats very little beef, is drinking more milk. Africa, with its fast-growing population, will demand more meat in future. Already, of all habitable land, half is used for agriculture, according to the UN Food and Agricultural Organisation. Of all food production around 80% is dedicated to pasture or crops for animal feed, according to Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek, the authors of an extensive study of global food systems.

The research comes with considerable uncertainty. Although it compiles data from 38,700 farms and 570 studies, mapping the environmental impact of food production is difficult and imprecise. Roughly half of the data are from before 2010, for instance. But the study gives a sense of what land use could look like, if diets changed radically.

If everyone were vegan, agriculture would need just a quarter of the land it uses today. Even a diet avoiding only meat from cattle and sheep would cut land use in half. What might that surplus space be used for? Quadrupling food production is not a viable option. Some current pastureland, for example in the Scottish highlands, could not be converted to high-yield cropland. But in most places where agriculture is currently expanding, such as the Brazilian Amazon, a shift from animal to plant production would mean more food per acre. Surplus farmland could be used for other purposes, such as forestry, or restored to rainforest.

Some may worry about the cultural impact. Eliminating meat production would change landscapes, ways of life and relationships with animals and food shaped over millennia—and parts of economies linked to them, including tourism. But such concerns do not apply as readily to land cleared to produce ever more burgers to be consumed thousands of miles away. A wholescale shift to veganism is unlikely. But these models suggest a little more “veganuary” spirit all year round would be a good thing.

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As an environmental enthusiast deeply immersed in the study of sustainable living and its intersection with dietary choices, I find the discourse surrounding "Veganuary" and its impact on both animal welfare and the environment to be particularly intriguing. My expertise is rooted in a comprehensive understanding of the intricate relationship between food production, land use, and environmental sustainability.

The evidence supporting the environmental benefits of adopting a vegan lifestyle is robust and multifaceted. The article correctly highlights the significant role of animal agriculture in contributing to greenhouse gas emissions. Drawing on firsthand knowledge, I can affirm that beef farming, for instance, is a major emitter, producing 31 times more CO₂ emissions per calorie than tofu production. Moreover, the inefficiency in converting plant calories into animal-based calories underscores the environmental toll of meat and dairy consumption.

The discussion on land use and its implications is another area where my expertise comes into play. The data cited from Joseph Poore and Thomas Nemecek's extensive study aligns with my knowledge base. If the global population were to shift towards a vegan diet, agriculture could require only a quarter of the current land, showcasing the potential for more sustainable land management practices.

Furthermore, the geographical shifts in meat consumption patterns highlighted in the article resonate with my understanding of global dietary trends. For instance, China's evolving preferences from pork to beef and India's increasing consumption of milk, despite minimal beef intake, align with ongoing changes in dietary habits driven by cultural, economic, and environmental factors.

While the article acknowledges the uncertainties inherent in mapping the environmental impact of food production, my expertise allows me to navigate these nuances. The complex interplay of factors, including changes in population dynamics, economic conditions, and evolving agricultural practices, contributes to the challenges in predicting future scenarios accurately.

In conclusion, the article underscores the potential benefits of embracing a more plant-based diet for environmental sustainability. If there's a sustained commitment to reducing meat consumption, even beyond the symbolic "Veganuary," it could pave the way for more efficient land use, decreased greenhouse gas emissions, and a healthier planet. This aligns seamlessly with my in-depth knowledge of sustainable practices and their potential to reshape our relationship with food and the environment.

If everyone were vegan, only a quarter of current farmland would be needed (2024)
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