Commodity trading and risk management (2024)

In recent times, the commodity markets have been affected by unprecedented events ranging from political unrest, supply chain disruption to recession fears, which have caused major price shocks and dramatic fluctuations in a commodity trader’s financial performance. The complexity of commodity markets make risk an especially critical factor of business performance than ever before. Commodity markets have also become more complex with new participants entering to profit from this volatility and regulators implementing changes to the ways in which these markets are controlled.

The complexity is supplemented by increasing scrutiny of both regulators and market participants on the move to a low-carbon economy. On top of managing volatility of commodity prices, commodity traders are now faced with a broader question on the adoption of an appropriate sustainability strategy and sustainability reporting requirements to their stakeholders.

A robust control environment, together with comprehensive trading systems and reporting solutions are crucial in gaining insight over the company’s performance and potential opportunities. Timely and accurate risk reporting is key to facilitate effective strategic and operational decisions by commodity traders.

Together, we can support you in your commodity trading and risk management journey.

Your trusted advisor in navigating risk management and reporting challenges

It is imperative for the success of each company to recognise and manage the evolving risks and market volatility effectively. However, there is no “one size fits all” approach as companies vary significantly in their objectives and rationales for managing such risks.

Our advisors are able to work with you to understand your overall strategy and business model to provide solutions which are practical and sustainable for your business.

Select the tabs below to understand how PwC helps organisations reimagine your trading and risk management process:

Your trusted advisor in navigating risk management and reporting challenges

  • Strategy and risk management transformation
  • Sustainability-related advisory
  • Operating model, governance and control
  • Accounting and regulatory compliance
  • Technology transformation

Commodity trading and risk management (6)

  • Support management in developing a commodity risk appetite and trading strategy, including considerations of credit risk, commodities price risk and liquidity risk
  • Support management to review the upstream to downstream business flows to optimise the supply chain
  • Perform gap assessment and benchmarking exercise of commodity risk management and trading governance, risk and controls frameworks against market good practice
  • Analyse key risks which affect the company and develop models for the monitoring and measurement of the key risks (such as a Value at Risk model)

Commodity trading and risk management (7)

Capitalising on our subject matter expertise, we offer end-to-end solutions that cover gap analysis, implementation andintegration of climate risk and accounting considerations in reporting through the following:

  • Advise commodity traders and carbon market intermediaries on setting up of accounting policies
  • Advise on accounting for ESG products (e.g. carbon credits, power purchase agreements, green loans)
  • Advise on restructuring, divestment and investment, with consideration for greenhouse gas scope of consolidation
  • Advise on the overall modelling framework to integrate climate change-related factors into the trader’s scenario analysis

Commodity trading and risk management (8)

  • Advise on book structure and definition of organisational structure across front, middle and back offices
  • Support management in defining roles and responsibilities across the business
  • Enhance governance structure and organisational design
  • Develop fraud risk assessment and response framework
  • Co-sourcing model with management to support internal controls review with subject matter expert expertise

Commodity trading and risk management (9)

  • Support management in interpretation and application of accounting standards (such as IFRS and SFRS)
  • Provide advice on complex treasury and commodity transactions, including advice on associated disclosure requirements
  • Develop of strategic and operational response to ensure compliance with local regulatory changes
  • Advise management on internal and external reporting requirements (e.g. new OTC reporting requirements under the Securities and Futures Act)

Learn more about our accounting and reporting advisory offerings

Commodity trading and risk management (10)

  • Implement and integrate Commodity/Energy Trading and Risk Management (C/ETRM) systemacross treasury and commodity risk activities and geographies
  • Develop business process blueprint and perform gap analysis with ‘as-is’ processes
  • Support the creation of use cases in business contexts
  • Support management in user requirements articulation and system selection
  • Prepare request for information (RFI)/request for proposal (RFP)
  • Advise on technology strategy and solution design
  • Improve and integrate controls framework within the system
  • Support quality assurance, change management monitoring and benefits tracking
  • Support the enhancement of technology functionality, such as treasury management systems (TMS), payments, bank interfaces, finance systems and cash management / forecasting
  • Support digital transformation and cloud adoption
  • Support project management throughout your end-to-end transformation journey

How we can help

Our global practice comprises of more than 200 dedicated specialists with a wide range of commodity trading and risk management experience. We work with our network of specialists to serve our clients across the world, bringing global expertise whilst providing local partnership on the following areas.

With our extensive commodity market and trading technology experience, through working with leading commodity risk management and trading companies and C/ETRM system vendors, we can help with your business ideas from strategy development and operating model design through to successful implementation of processes and technology.

Commodity trading and risk management (2024)

FAQs

What is the 1% rule in trading? ›

The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your total capital, close the position.

What is the role of risk management in commodity trading? ›

Commodity risk is a company's risk due to changes in a commodity's price and other terms over time. Commodity risk management involves several strategies, such as hedging on the item through forwarding, futures, and options contracts.

What is the secret to risk and trade management? ›

The first key to risk management in trading is determining your trading strategy's win-loss ratio, and the average size of your wins and losses. If you know these numbers, and they add up to long-term profitability, you are well on your way to successful trading.

How do you solve commodity risk? ›

Common strategic initiatives to manage commodity risk include diversification and flexibility. Diversification is one of the more common methods used to reduce risk and uncertainty. For example, many primary producers will rotate crops and/or livestock to manage the price and cost risk associated with production.

What is 90% rule in trading? ›

The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. This is a sobering statistic, but it is important to understand why it is true and how to avoid falling into the same trap.

What is the 50% rule in trading? ›

The fifty percent principle is a rule of thumb that anticipates the size of a technical correction. The fifty percent principle states that when a stock or other asset begins to fall after a period of rapid gains, it will lose at least 50% of its most recent gains before the price begins advancing again.

What is the best risk management in trading? ›

10 Rules of Risk Management
  • Always use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders.
  • Never leave open positions unattended.
  • Record your performance and adjust as you progress.
  • Avoid high volatility periods like economic news releases.
  • Avoid making emotional decisions when trading.

What is the risk of commodities trading? ›

Commodity price risk is the chance that commodity prices will change in a way that causes economic losses. Commodity price risk for buyers is due to increases in commodity prices; for sellers/producers it is often due to decreases in commodity prices.

Why are commodities high risk? ›

Uncontrollable factors such as inflation, weather, political unrest, foreign events, new technologies and even rumors can have devastating consequences to the price of a commodity. Investors investing in commodities must be able to bear a total loss of their investment.

What is the rule of 2 in trading? ›

This has since been adapted by short-term equity traders as the 2 Percent Rule: NEVER RISK MORE THAN 2 PERCENT OF YOUR CAPITAL ON ANY ONE STOCK. This means that a run of 10 consecutive losses would only consume 20% of your capital. It does not mean that you need to trade 50 different stocks!

What is the 3 trade rule? ›

Essentially, if you have a $5,000 account, you can only make three-day trades in any rolling five-day period. Once your account value is above $25,000, the restriction no longer applies to you. You usually don't have to worry about violating this rule by mistake because your broker will notify you.

What is the 3% rule in trading? ›

The 3% rule states that you should never risk more than 3% of your whole trading capital on a single deal. In order to safeguard themselves against big losses, traders attempt to restrict exposures on a single deal.

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